Negotiation
Getting a raise, renting an apartment, buying a car, closing a customer—life is full of negotiations.
To improve, I watched experts, studied books, and practiced in real life.
Here is the system:
Leverage
Creative solutions
Take your time
The only way on earth to influence other people is to talk about what they want and show them how to get it.
-Dale Carnegie
You have to persuade yourself that you absolutely don’t care what happens. If you don’t care, you’ve won. I absolutely promise you, in every serious negotiation, the man or woman who doesn’t care is going to win.
-Felix Dennis
Leverage
Leverage is about options. If you have alternatives, you can walk away. Similarly, you gain confidence to propose favorable deals. Studies found that leading with an extreme offer subconsciously anchored that number—every $1 increase in opening offer led to a $0.50 increase in final sale price.
Research has shown that, with leverage, even an average negotiator will do pretty well while, without leverage, only highly skilled bargainers achieve their goals.
-G. Richard Shell
Creative solutions
Many factors can matter: price, product, service, risk, time, emotions, relationships. Ask questions to discover the other person’s true goals and motivations. Then brainstorm together to expand the pie and achieve a win-win solution.
The best move you can make in negotiation is to think of an incentive the other person hasn’t even thought of—and then meet it.
-Eli Broad
Take your time
Time pressure overloads people’s brains and worsens deal-making outcomes by an average of 50%. Therefore, take a walk, sleep on it, and give yourself time to think. There will always be other opportunities.
Very few negotiations are begun and concluded in the same sitting. It’s really rare. In fact, if you sit down and actually complete your negotiation in one sitting, you left stuff on the table.
-Chris Voss
Examples
Here are two examples showing the system in action:
Getting a raise
You keep in touch with recruiters and former colleagues about potential jobs
You schedule a meeting with your manager to discuss a raise
You share a 1-page memo that quantifies your track record of excellent results
You also share a salary survey that shows the market rate is $80K–100K
You mention that recruiters have contacted you with jobs, but you want to stay with the company
You propose a raise to $100K because of your excellent results
Your manager says that raise would be too high
You brainstorm other factors: bonus, commission plan, stock options, flexible hours, vacation time, travel opportunities, learning subsidy, different responsibilities, mentorship
After two more meetings, you agree on a raise to $90K, more stock options, and more vacation time
Renting an apartment
You’ve been checking listings online for 2 months
When you visit a listing, you mention there are other places renting for $400 less
You also ask questions such as:
Is it better if you move in sooner?
Can the place be partially or fully furnished?
Can Internet and electricity be included?
Does the landlord care if you sign a shorter versus longer lease?
After sleeping on two places, you realize they’re not right for you
Finally, you find the perfect place and negotiate a price $200 below market, free Internet, and partially furnished
The truly gifted negotiator, then, is one whose initial position is exaggerated enough to allow for a series of concessions that will yield a desirable final offer from the opponent, yet is not so outlandish as to be seen as illegitimate from the start.
-Robert Cialdini
References
Fisher R, Ury W. (1991). Getting to yes: Negotiating agreement without giving in. Penguin Books.
Dahlen N, Eichstädt T. (2020). Alternatives vs. time – measuring the force of distinct sources of bargaining power. Group Decision Negotiation: Multidisciplinary Perspective. 388: 56–72.
A negotiation study with 50 participants compared outcomes for students vs. professionals
When given attractive alternatives, students negotiated 15% better deals vs. 156% for professionals
When put under severe time pressure, students underperformed opponents by 56%, whereas professionals continued to outperform opponents by 57%
Magee JC, Galinsky AD, Gruenfeld DH. (2007). Power, propensity to negotiate, and moving first in competitive interactions. Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 33(2): 200–212.
In a study with 138 participants, 29% of those with attractive alternatives were willing to make a first offer vs. 8% with no alternatives
In a study with 62 participants, those with high power made the first offer 68% of the time vs. 32% with low power, and this caused the final sale price to be 8% higher
Pinkley RL, Neale MA, Bennett RJ. (1994). The impact of alternatives to settlement in dyadic negotiation. Organizational Behavior Human Decision Processes. 57(1): 97–116.
A negotiation study with 382 first-year MBA students found that participants with attractive options outperformed those with zero or unattractive options
Orr D, Guthrie C. (2006). Anchoring, information, expertise, and negotiation: New insights from meta-analysis. Ohio State Journal Dispute Resolution. 21: 597–628.
A meta-analysis of 16 studies with 1,259 participants found that anchoring improved negotiation outcomes (effect size = 0.50)
This effect size meant that every $1 increase in opening offer was associated with a $0.50 increase in final sale price
It also meant that the opening offer or initial anchor accounted for 25% of the difference in outcomes
Gunia BC et al. (2013). The remarkable robustness of the first-offer effect: Across culture, power, and issues. Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 39(12): 1547–1558.
4 studies with 300 participants across 32 nationalities found that negotiators achieved better outcomes when making the first offer, even in situations where they had less leverage
In one of the studies, final sale price was 19% higher when sellers vs. buyers made the first offer
Karagözoğlu E, Kocher MG. (2019). Bargaining under time pressure from deadlines. Experimental Economics. 22: 419–440.
A negotiation study with 360 students found that disagreement rate was 4.5% with low time pressure vs. 31.4% with high time pressure
Grimm V, Mengel F. (2011). Let me sleep on it: Delay reduces rejection rates in ultimatum games. Economics Letters. 111: 113–115.
An Ultimatum Game study with 342 participants found that a 10-minute break increased acceptance of low but economically favorable offers from 0–16% to 63–80%
Chernev A, Böckenholt U, Goodman J. (2015). Choice overload: A conceptual review and meta-analysis. Journal Consumer Psychology. 25(2): 333–358.
A meta-analysis of 53 consumer decision-making studies with 7,202 participants found that choice overload was associated with decision goal (effect size = 0.56), choice set complexity (effect size = 0.55), decision task difficulty (effect size = 0.37), and preference uncertainty (effect size = 0.32)
Decision goal reflects intent (buying vs. browsing) and focus (choosing from an assortment vs. choosing a specific option)
Choice set complexity reflects attractiveness of alternatives, including presence of a dominant option
Decision task difficulty reflects time constraints, decision accountability, number of attributes per option, and complexity of presentation format
Preference uncertainty reflects product-specific expertise and knowledge of ideal product
Hüffmeier J et al. (2014). Being tough or being nice? A meta-analysis on the impact of hard- and softline strategies in distributive negotiations. Journal Management. 40(3): 866–892.
A meta-analysis of 34 studies with 7,167 participants found that hardline strategies led to higher economic outcomes (effect size = 0.47)
Softline strategies led to higher socioemotional outcomes (effect size = 0.40)
Sharma S, Bottom WP, Elfenbein HA. (2013). On the role of personality, cognitive ability, and emotional intelligence in predicting negotiation outcomes: A meta-analysis. Organizational Psychology Review. 3(4): 293–336.
A meta-analysis of 6 negotiation studies with 743 participants found that intelligence was associated with joint economic value (effect size = 0.20) and subjective value (effect size = 0.14)
A meta-analysis of 5 negotiation studies with 520 participants found that emotional intelligence was associated with subjective value (effect size = 0.25)
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